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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Iran”
How it works
By volume
Closing soon
Newest
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
71%
July 31
56%
5 more
$135.5M
Vol.
iran
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$7.30M
Vol.
iran
Iran ceasefire continues through...?
May 20
99%
May 21
98%
9 more
$2.93M
Vol.
iran
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Oil Sanction Relief
32%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
26%
2 more
$3.82M
Vol.
iran
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$41.6M
Vol.
iran
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
42%
June 15
31%
3 more
$1.53M
Vol.
iran
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$781K
Vol.
iran
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$217K
Vol.
iran
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$1.55M
Vol.
iran
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$555K
Vol.
iran
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10
83%
10-20
9%
3 more
$426K
Vol.
iran
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$1.22M
Vol.
iran
